Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Acciari 53.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 60.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tavares
Acciari
Last 7: Tavares 3-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Tavares
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
54.5% (532)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
62.5% (8)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
48.8% (86)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
61.0% (661)
56.2% (281)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
58.6%
53.4%
P2
57.8%
57.1%
P3
58.4%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |