Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Acciari 53.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 91.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 73.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tavares
Acciari
Last 7: Tavares 1-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Tavares
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
56.7% (393)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
33.3% (3)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
48.0% (202)
+8.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
59.7% (610)
54.5% (279)
Away
57.0% (698)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
57.2%
56.9%
P2
58.5%
51.4%
P3
59.4%
53.2%
OT
46.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |