Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Acciari 53.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 84.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Acciari
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
55.6% (426)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
0.0% (2)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
52.1% (146)
-9.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
57.5% (668)
55.2% (306)
Away
61.1% (684)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
58.0%
55.5%
P2
60.1%
54.3%
P3
61.0%
54.1%
OT
27.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |