Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Acciari 51.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 93.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 71.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
24
(43 meetings)
19
24
Tavares
Acciari
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
14
1
Tavares
Acciari
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
19
Tavares
Acciari
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
Acciari
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
52.8% (3,276)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
48.2% (85)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.1% (1,061)
+3.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
55.0%
52.2%
P2
54.1%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
50.5%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |