Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Acciari 51.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 88.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 53.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
53.0% (285)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
31.3% (16)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
50.8% (183)
+7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
57.8% (614)
53.2% (267)
Away
57.8% (554)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
58.0%
53.1%
P2
56.9%
51.1%
P3
58.4%
50.6%
OT
57.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |