Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Suter 49.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 51.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Tavares
Suter
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Suter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
5
Tavares
Suter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
49.8% (840)
+11.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
57.4% (68)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
39.6% (96)
+8.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
63.5% (684)
49.8% (502)
Away
57.6% (658)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
60.3%
46.7%
P2
60.4%
51.7%
P3
60.1%
48.9%
OT
92.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |