Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Suter 48.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 71.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 54.9%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
50.1% (357)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
43.8% (16)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
40.5% (79)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
57.8% (614)
48.0% (223)
Away
57.8% (554)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
58.0%
48.9%
P2
56.9%
47.3%
P3
58.4%
49.7%
OT
57.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |