Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Suter 49.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.1%
Defensive zone
Suter 59.0%
Neutral zone
Suter 53.5%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
47.2% (299)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
58.9% (56)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
54.5% (22)
-11.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
57.5% (668)
51.7% (172)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
58.0%
48.2%
P2
60.1%
49.3%
P3
61.0%
51.2%
OT
27.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pius Suter |