Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Suter 43.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tavares
Suter
Last 7: Tavares 6-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
42.4% (740)
+15.3%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
48.0% (75)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
37.3% (59)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
59.7% (610)
41.8% (407)
Away
57.0% (698)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
57.2%
44.7%
P2
58.5%
41.5%
P3
59.4%
41.9%
OT
46.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |