Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Suter 46.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 26-12 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 87.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
12
(38 meetings)
26
12
Tavares
Suter
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
1
Tavares
Suter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
4
Tavares
Suter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
7
Tavares
Suter
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
46.2% (3,208)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.9% (278)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
40.3% (303)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
56.1% (10,503)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
55.0%
46.6%
P2
54.1%
46.0%
P3
54.1%
46.1%
OT
55.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |