Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Hintz 52.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 54.3%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tavares
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
52.9% (526)
+8.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
57.4% (108)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
42.5% (40)
+5.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hintz
Home
63.5% (684)
53.8% (329)
Away
57.6% (658)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Tavares
Hintz
P1
60.3%
55.6%
P2
60.4%
53.0%
P3
60.1%
51.7%
OT
92.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |