Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Hintz 53.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hintz 56.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Tavares
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Tavares
Hintz
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
4
Tavares
Hintz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
2
Tavares
Hintz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.8% (3,722)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.4% (567)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
52.9% (221)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hintz
Home
56.1% (10,503)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Tavares
Hintz
P1
55.0%
55.5%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
52.7%
OT
55.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |