Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hintz 53.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hintz 52.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Tavares
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Tavares
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
53.6% (711)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
53.8% (93)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
58.7% (46)
-2.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hintz
Home
59.7% (610)
52.6% (460)
Away
57.0% (698)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Tavares
Hintz
P1
57.2%
59.0%
P2
58.5%
52.7%
P3
59.4%
51.1%
OT
46.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |