Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hintz 51.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Tavares
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tavares
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.6% (439)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
37.9% (29)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
63.6% (11)
-4.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hintz
Home
61.0% (661)
53.5% (256)
Away
55.3% (584)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Tavares
Hintz
P1
58.6%
59.5%
P2
57.8%
49.2%
P3
58.4%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |