John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Tavares 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
52.1% (351)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
57.1% (14)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
35.9% (39)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.1% (559)
50.0% (198)
Away
52.4% (557)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.6%
52.1%
P2
55.5%
48.8%
P3
52.0%
50.4%
OT
80.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |