John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
51.0% (408)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
0.0% (6)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
35.9% (78)
+7.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.5% (668)
50.8% (258)
Away
61.1% (684)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.0%
51.6%
P2
60.1%
45.2%
P3
61.0%
47.6%
OT
27.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |