John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
43.0% (349)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
31.8% (88)
+15.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
63.5% (684)
38.5% (231)
Away
57.6% (658)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.3%
40.2%
P2
60.4%
36.0%
P3
60.1%
45.1%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |