John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 48-17 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 82.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
17
(65 meetings)
48
17
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
6
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
3
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
8
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
44.9% (8,756)
+9.1%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
50.7% (839)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
37.9% (879)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.1% (10,503)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.0%
45.1%
P2
54.1%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
45.3%
OT
55.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |