John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
46.7% (137)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
39.1% (23)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.9% (404)
53.9% (89)
Away
52.9% (448)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.2%
50.9%
P2
55.1%
36.7%
P3
56.4%
48.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |