Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 63.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Tavares
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tavares
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
49.2% (307)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
66.7% (6)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
48.2% (56)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Tavares
Carrick
Home
61.0% (661)
50.3% (175)
Away
55.3% (584)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Tavares
Carrick
P1
58.6%
41.0%
P2
57.8%
51.2%
P3
58.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |