Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Tavares
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
50.0% (22)
+9.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
58.0% (500)
33.3% (15)
Away
59.7% (375)
85.7% (7)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
59.5%
50.0%
P2
58.5%
66.7%
P3
58.2%
33.3%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%