Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+19.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 74.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 58.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Tavares
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
40.9% (232)
+20.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
100.0% (1)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
40.0% (30)
+7.6%
On power play, Lafferty has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
63.5% (684)
38.2% (123)
Away
57.6% (658)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
60.3%
41.6%
P2
60.4%
36.7%
P3
60.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%