Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.5%). Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Monahan 51.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 60.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Tavares
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Monahan
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Tavares
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
50.2% (1,117)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
55.5% (283)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
56.8% (44)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Tavares
Monahan
Home
52.1% (841)
50.1% (731)
Away
49.0% (787)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Tavares
Monahan
P1
52.2%
51.3%
P2
50.7%
50.3%
P3
49.7%
53.1%
OT
37.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |