Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Tavares
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Tavares
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
57.1% (871)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
53.1% (262)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.6% (139)
-1.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Tavares
Monahan
Home
57.5% (668)
55.3% (644)
Away
61.1% (684)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Tavares
Monahan
P1
58.0%
53.9%
P2
60.1%
55.3%
P3
61.0%
54.4%
OT
27.8%
76.5%
Final 5 min
60.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |