Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Tavares
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
51.5% (641)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
62.8% (129)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
33.3% (9)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Tavares
Monahan
Home
63.5% (684)
53.9% (362)
Away
57.6% (658)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Tavares
Monahan
P1
60.3%
48.0%
P2
60.4%
57.0%
P3
60.1%
54.1%
OT
92.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |