Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+16.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Tavares
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
45.8% (24)
+15.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
0.0% (1)
+60.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Jarvis is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Tavares
Jarvis
Home
63.5% (684)
27.3% (11)
Away
57.6% (658)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Tavares
Jarvis
P1
60.3%
58.3%
P2
60.4%
50.0%
P3
60.1%
14.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%