Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+23.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Tavares
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
37.5% (24)
+20.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
0.0% (1)
+60.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
0.0% (1)
+59.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Tavares
Jarvis
Home
61.0% (661)
38.5% (13)
Away
55.3% (584)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Tavares
Jarvis
P1
58.6%
40.0%
P2
57.8%
20.0%
P3
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%