Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Pinto 45.2% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 64.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 54.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tavares
Pinto
Last 7: Tavares 3-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Tavares
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
40.9% (88)
+13.6%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
60.0% (5)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
35.3% (17)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
57.9% (404)
39.6% (48)
Away
52.9% (448)
41.9% (62)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
54.2%
37.0%
P2
55.1%
48.6%
P3
56.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |