Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Pinto 50.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 73.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Pinto
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Tavares
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
51.2% (463)
+8.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
50.0% (14)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
36.8% (19)
+6.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
57.5% (668)
52.2% (205)
Away
61.1% (684)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
58.0%
48.7%
P2
60.1%
51.8%
P3
61.0%
51.2%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |