Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +27.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Pinto 44.1% (+27.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Tavares
Pinto
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
3
5
Tavares
Pinto
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
34.1% (41)
+26.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
28.6% (7)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
25.0% (4)
+22.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
63.5% (684)
35.0% (40)
Away
57.6% (658)
25.0% (12)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
60.3%
29.4%
P2
60.4%
44.4%
P3
60.1%
23.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
32.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |