Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Pinto 51.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 81.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 60.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Tavares
Pinto
Last 9: Tavares 4-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
Tavares
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.5% (825)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
40.0% (10)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
44.4% (27)
+14.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
61.0% (661)
52.8% (453)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
58.6%
49.0%
P2
57.8%
53.5%
P3
58.4%
53.7%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |