Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Pinto 50.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 63.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Pinto
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
50.2% (520)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
68.0% (25)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
49.4% (89)
+8.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
57.8% (614)
48.8% (301)
Away
57.8% (554)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
58.0%
51.2%
P2
56.9%
48.9%
P3
58.4%
53.3%
OT
57.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |