Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Crosby 55.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Tavares
Crosby
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Tavares
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Tavares
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
53.5% (961)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
64.1% (237)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
64.3% (14)
-6.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
57.8% (614)
56.4% (622)
Away
57.8% (554)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
58.0%
56.0%
P2
56.9%
52.6%
P3
58.4%
58.3%
OT
57.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |