Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 110 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 159-138 in 297 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 55.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
159
-
138
(297 meetings)
159
138
Tavares
Crosby
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
50
41
Tavares
Crosby
91 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
49
47
Tavares
Crosby
96 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
60
50
Tavares
Crosby
110 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.1% (765)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
55.0%
53.6%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
55.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |