Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Crosby
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.8% (1,169)
+10.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
60.2% (261)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
45.0% (20)
+2.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
63.5% (684)
53.2% (726)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
60.3%
51.3%
P2
60.4%
52.1%
P3
60.1%
54.1%
OT
92.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |