Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Crosby 57.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Tavares
Crosby
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Tavares
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
1
Tavares
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Tavares
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
57.8% (1,437)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
60.9% (381)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (54)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
57.5% (668)
59.2% (985)
Away
61.1% (684)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
58.0%
57.3%
P2
60.1%
59.5%
P3
61.0%
58.5%
OT
27.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |