Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 71.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Tavares
Crosby
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Tavares
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.5% (1,443)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
54.7% (369)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
55.9% (34)
+3.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
61.0% (661)
53.0% (931)
Away
55.3% (584)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
58.6%
50.3%
P2
57.8%
55.4%
P3
58.4%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
63.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |