Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Crosby 56.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 60.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Tavares
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
56.2% (1,451)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
61.4% (293)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
55.3% (38)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
59.7% (610)
59.1% (939)
Away
57.0% (698)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
57.2%
54.9%
P2
58.5%
60.8%
P3
59.4%
55.4%
OT
46.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |