Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 82.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Tavares
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Crosby
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (992)
55.1% (648)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.7% (294)
58.6% (256)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.6% (63)
+2.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Tavares shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Tavares
Crosby
Home
51.7% (679)
57.1% (552)
Away
53.4% (640)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Tavares
Crosby
P1
52.2%
60.3%
P2
49.3%
55.8%
P3
56.3%
50.8%
OT
57.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |