Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Blueger 48.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 77.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Blueger
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
50.2% (223)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
62.5% (8)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
31.9% (47)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
57.8% (614)
50.0% (192)
Away
57.8% (554)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
58.0%
46.2%
P2
56.9%
51.5%
P3
58.4%
43.2%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |