Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 30 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Blueger 50.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 68.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
21
(50 meetings)
29
21
Tavares
Blueger
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
24
6
Tavares
Blueger
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
13
Tavares
Blueger
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
52.3% (3,540)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
50.0% (76)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
42.6% (1,100)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
56.1% (10,503)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
52.3%
P3
54.1%
48.5%
OT
55.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |