Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Blueger 51.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 84.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tavares
Blueger
Last 9: Tavares 5-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
54.1% (425)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
100.0% (6)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
43.8% (144)
+15.3%
On power play, Blueger has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
61.0% (661)
52.5% (282)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
58.6%
49.2%
P2
57.8%
57.2%
P3
58.4%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |