Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Blueger 52.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 81.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 55.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Tavares
Blueger
Last 9: Tavares 4-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Blueger
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Tavares
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
53.9% (529)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (6)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.4% (137)
-2.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
63.5% (684)
54.3% (335)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
60.3%
50.3%
P2
60.4%
55.2%
P3
60.1%
53.5%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |