Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Blueger 50.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 84.2%
Neutral zone
Blueger 60.1%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Blueger
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
53.3% (745)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
45.5% (11)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
41.7% (259)
+14.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
59.7% (610)
53.4% (504)
Away
57.0% (698)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
57.2%
46.6%
P2
58.5%
53.0%
P3
59.4%
50.8%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |