Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Blueger 52.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Blueger
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Blueger
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
54.2% (590)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
71.4% (14)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
48.0% (177)
-5.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
57.5% (668)
53.2% (378)
Away
61.1% (684)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
58.0%
54.3%
P2
60.1%
56.7%
P3
61.0%
48.9%
OT
27.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |