Jonathan Drouin vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Drouin leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 84.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 78.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Drouin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Drouin
Duchene
Last 10: Drouin 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Drouin
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Drouin
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
4
0
Drouin
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
53.9% (10,396)
-10.4%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
56.9% (1,665)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
49.1% (468)
-10.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
44.0% (1,041)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
45.9%
54.5%
P2
42.0%
54.5%
P3
45.0%
53.4%
OT
47.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |