Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.8%
Defensive zone
Drouin 75.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.1%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Drouin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
53.9% (193)
-8.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
49.2% (65)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
37.5% (160)
54.9% (113)
Away
49.5% (220)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
40.3%
54.9%
P2
43.3%
52.7%
P3
49.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%