Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 59.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 66.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Drouin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drouin
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Drouin
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (19)
53.0% (723)
-10.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
49.5% (101)
-16.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
46.2% (13)
54.9% (408)
Away
33.3% (9)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
42.9%
52.5%
P2
30.0%
51.7%
P3
60.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
40.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |