Jonathan Drouin vs Matt Duchene

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Drouin 49.5% vs Duchene 51.6% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone Duchene 50.9%
Defensive zone Duchene 53.6%
Neutral zone Duchene 51.8%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Drouin Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
51.2% (324)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
60.4% (53)
-3.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +3.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
49.5% (97)
51.6% (182)
Away
49.2% (128)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
51.5%
56.2%
P3
45.0%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%
49.5%
49.3%
Duchene
44.0%
52.0%
52.0%