Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Duchene 55.6% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 71.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Drouin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
56.5% (566)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
61.3% (62)
-9.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
57.9% (57)
56.6% (318)
Away
39.3% (28)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
61.8%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
36.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
35.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%